Southern Miss
Conference USA
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.0#267
Expected Predictive Rating-6.7#277
Pace66.3#252
Improvement-1.0#219

Offense
Total Offense-5.3#308
First Shot-4.1#295
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#264
Layup/Dunks-6.2#345
2 Pt Jumpshots+8.9#1
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#325
Freethrows-2.0#307
Improvement-2.5#295

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#201
First Shot-1.2#216
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#134
Layups/Dunks+6.4#9
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#341
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#326
Freethrows-0.2#197
Improvement+1.5#99
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 32 - 82 - 15
Quad 44 - 76 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 157   @ South Alabama L 69-75 18%     0 - 1 -2.3 -0.7 -1.9
  Nov 14, 2019 164   @ North Florida L 63-66 19%     0 - 2 +0.4 -16.3 +16.8
  Nov 19, 2019 81   @ Iowa St. L 45-73 8%     0 - 3 -18.5 -24.6 +5.8
  Nov 27, 2019 2   Gonzaga L 69-94 2%     0 - 4 -5.7 +1.6 -7.1
  Nov 28, 2019 16   Seton Hall L 56-81 4%     0 - 5 -10.9 -7.0 -5.3
  Nov 29, 2019 54   Alabama L 68-83 9%     0 - 6 -6.1 -0.2 -6.3
  Dec 04, 2019 179   Tulane L 56-61 41%     0 - 7 -8.6 -17.2 +8.5
  Dec 07, 2019 173   Southern Illinois W 72-69 40%     1 - 7 -0.3 +6.3 -6.4
  Dec 14, 2019 164   North Florida L 69-72 37%     1 - 8 -5.6 -14.1 +8.6
  Dec 16, 2019 17   @ Texas Tech L 65-71 3%     1 - 9 +11.0 +2.3 +8.6
  Dec 30, 2019 88   Louisiana Tech L 49-80 20%     1 - 10 0 - 1 -28.0 -20.0 -10.1
  Jan 04, 2020 88   @ Louisiana Tech L 50-78 9%     1 - 11 0 - 2 -19.0 -19.3 +0.4
  Jan 09, 2020 188   @ UTEP L 64-76 23%     1 - 12 0 - 3 -10.2 -5.5 -4.6
  Jan 11, 2020 207   @ Texas San Antonio L 70-80 26%     1 - 13 0 - 4 -9.4 -5.7 -3.5
  Jan 16, 2020 85   North Texas L 52-72 19%     1 - 14 0 - 5 -16.9 -16.4 -2.6
  Jan 18, 2020 203   Rice W 81-68 47%     2 - 14 1 - 5 +7.8 +5.0 +3.2
  Jan 23, 2020 176   @ UAB W 84-77 21%     3 - 14 2 - 5 +9.5 +18.1 -8.2
  Jan 25, 2020 281   @ Middle Tennessee L 63-65 41%     3 - 15 2 - 6 -5.7 -9.5 +3.7
  Jan 30, 2020 168   Old Dominion L 58-68 38%     3 - 16 2 - 7 -12.8 -8.1 -5.6
  Feb 01, 2020 171   Charlotte W 74-68 OT 39%     4 - 16 3 - 7 +2.9 +0.1 +2.6
  Feb 06, 2020 142   @ Marshall L 58-72 16%     4 - 17 3 - 8 -9.4 -11.1 +1.8
  Feb 08, 2020 111   @ Western Kentucky L 72-75 12%     4 - 18 3 - 9 +4.1 +2.3 +1.7
  Feb 13, 2020 183   Florida Atlantic W 68-66 42%     5 - 18 4 - 9 -1.8 -4.0 +2.2
  Feb 15, 2020 150   Florida International W 75-67 34%     6 - 18 5 - 9 +6.1 -2.5 +8.3
  Feb 22, 2020 281   Middle Tennessee L 53-61 64%     6 - 19 5 - 10 -17.8 -21.7 +3.5
  Mar 01, 2020 188   @ UTEP L 56-75 23%     6 - 20 5 - 11 -17.2 -7.9 -10.9
  Mar 04, 2020 203   Rice L 57-72 47%     6 - 21 5 - 12 -20.2 -21.0 +0.6
  Mar 07, 2020 281   @ Middle Tennessee L 62-65 OT 41%     6 - 22 5 - 13 -6.7 -20.8 +14.5
Projected Record 6 - 22 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 100.0 100.0 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9 100.0% 100.0
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%